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Books in English
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The Art of Uncertainty How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
The Art of Uncertainty How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
David Spiegelhalter
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€29.74
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We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?
David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.
In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.
Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know
Książka The Art of Uncertainty - wysyłka UK tylko £1.90.
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Dane bibliograficzne / Bibliographic info
Rodzaj (nośnik)
/ Type of product
książka / book
Dział
/ Department
Książki i czasopisma / Books and periodicals
Autor
/ Author
David Spiegelhalter
Tytuł
/ Title
The Art of Uncertainty
Podtytuł
/ Subtitle
How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
Język
/ Language
angielski
Wydawca
/ Publisher
Penguin Books
Rok wydania
/ Published in year
2024
Rodzaj oprawy
/ Binding type
Twarda z obwolutą
Wymiary
/ Size
14.0x22.0
Liczba stron
/ Number of pages
489
Ciężar
/ Weight
0.61 kg
ISBN
9780241658628 (9780241658628)
EAN/UPC
9780241658628
Stan produktu
/ Condition
nowy / new - sprzedajemy wyłącznie nowe nieużywane produkty
Categories
Books in English
Science and popular science
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David Spiegelhalter
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