Newsletter

The Art of Uncertainty How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

David Spiegelhalter
In stock
Dostępne mniej niż 10 sztuk.
Dispatch in 3-4 business days.
€29.74
Dostawa do UK zawsze tylko £1.90! (Sprawdź!)

lub
We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?

David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.

In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.

Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know

Książka The Art of Uncertainty - wysyłka UK tylko £1.90.

Irlandia i inne kraje - sprawdź informacja na stronie "dostawa".

Dane bibliograficzne / Bibliographic info
Rodzaj (nośnik) / Type of product książka / book
Dział / Department Książki i czasopisma / Books and periodicals
Autor / Author David Spiegelhalter
Tytuł / Title The Art of Uncertainty
Podtytuł / Subtitle How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
Język / Language angielski
Wydawca / Publisher Penguin Books
Rok wydania / Published in year 2024
Rodzaj oprawy / Binding type Twarda z obwolutą
Wymiary / Size 14.0x22.0
Liczba stron / Number of pages 489
Ciężar / Weight 0.61 kg
   
ISBN 9780241658628 (9780241658628)
EAN/UPC 9780241658628
Stan produktu / Condition nowy / new - sprzedajemy wyłącznie nowe nieużywane produkty

Product tags
Zapraszamy do zakupu tego produktu.